G'Day...

An avid fan of both Television and Cinema, this blog is desined to give Noble's personal predictions, and analysis of the Oscar and Emmy races each year, as well as providing a place for Noble's own annual awards for film and television to be archived. Feedback and Discussion is welcomed in the form of comments on the blog posts.

Sunday, February 22, 2009

Oscar Predictions

MOTION PICTURE:
1. Slumdog Millionaire (90%)
2. Milk (5%)
3. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (4%)
4. Frost/Nixon (1%)
5. The Reader (0%)

DIRECTING:
1. Slumdog Millioanire (85%)
2. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (12%)
3. Milk (3%)
4. Frost/Nixon (0%)
5. The Reader (0%)

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:
1. Slumdog Millionaire (54%)
2. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (21%)
3. Frost/Nixon (19%)
4. The Reader (4%)
5. Doubt (2%)

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:
1. WALL-E (45%)
2. Milk (43%)
3. Frozen River (10%)
4. Happy-Go-Lucky (1%)
5. In Bruges (1%)

LEAD ACTOR:
1. Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon (31%)
2. Sean Penn, Milk (30%)
3. Micky Rourke, The Wrestler (29%)
4. Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (9%)
5. Richard Jenkins, The Visitor (1%)

LEAD ACTRESS:
1. Kate Winset, The Reader (43%)
2. Meryl Streep, Doubt (42%)
3. Melissa Leo, Frozen River (12%)
4. Anne Hataway (2%)
5. Angalina Jolie (1%)

SUPPORTING ACTOR:
1. Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight (81%)
2. Josh Brolin, Milk (11%)
3. Robery Downey Jr., Tropic Thunder (5%)
4. Phillip Seymore Hoffman, Doubt (2%)
5. Michael Shannon, Revolutionary Road (1%)

SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
1. Viola Davis, Doubt (31%)
2. Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Bercellona (29%)
3. Amy Adams, Doubt (20%)
4. Marissa Tomei, The Wrestler (15%)
5. Tajari P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button (5%)

ART DIRECTION:
1. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Donald Graham Burt & Victor J. Zolfo (36%)
2. The Dark Knight, Nathan Crowley & Peter Lando (24%)
3. Changeling, James J. Murakami & Gary Fettis (11%)
4. The Duchess, Michael Carlin & Rebecca Alleway (10%)
5. Revolutionary Road, Kristi Zea & Debra Schutt (9%)

CINEMATOGRAPHY:
1. Slumdog Millionaire, Anthony Dod Mantle (30%)
2. The Dark Knight, Wally Pfister (27%)
3. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Claudio Miranda (26%)
4. The Reader, Chris Menges & Roger Deakins (10%)
5. Changeling, Tom Stern (7%)

COSTUME DESIGN:
1. The Duchess, Michael O’Connor (31%)
2. Australia, Catherine Martin (30%)
3. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Jacqueline West (29%)
4. Revolutionary Road, Albert Wolsky (6%)
5. Milk, Danny Glicker (4%)

FILM EDITING:
1. Slumdog Millionaire, Chris Dickens (40%)
2. The Dark Knight, Lee Smith (30%)
3. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Kirk Baxter & Angus Wall (15%)
4. Frost/Nixon, Mike Hill & Dan Hanley (10%)
5. Milk, Elliot Graham (5%)

MAKEUP:
1. The Dark Knight, John Caglione, Jr. & Conor O’Sullivan (38%)
2. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Greg Cannom (37%)
3. Hellboy II: The Golden Army, Mike Elizalde & Thom Floutz (25%)

ORIGINAL SCORE:
1. Slumdog Millionaire, A.R. Rahman (35%)
. WALL-E, Thomas Newman (30%)
3. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Alexandre Desplat (22%)
4. Milk, Danny Elfman (10%)
5. Defiance, James Newton Howard (3%)

ORIGINAL SONG:
1. "Down to Earth" from WALL-E, Peter Gabriel & Thomas Newman (50%)
2. "Jai Ho" from Slumdog Millionaire, A.R. Rahman & Gulzar (45%)
3. "O Saya" from Slumdog Millionaire, A.R. Rahman & Maya Arulpragasam (5%)

SOUND EDITING:
1. WALL-E, Ben Burtt & Matthew Wood (32%)
2. The Dark Knight, Richard King (31%)
3. Slumdog Millionaire, Glenn Freemantle & Tom (30%)
4. Iron Man, Frank Eulner & Christopher Boyes Sayers (5%)
5. Wanted, Wylie Stateman (2%)

SOUND MIXING:
1. Slumdog Millionaire, Ian Tapp, Richard Pryke & Resul Pookutty (30%)
2. The Dark Knight, Lora Hirschberg, Gary Rizzo & Ed Novick (29%)
3. WALL-E, Tom Myers, Michael Semanick & Ben Burtt (28%)
4. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, David Parker, Michael Semanick, Ren Klyce & Mark Weingarten (10%)
5. Wanted, Chris Jenkins, Frank A. Montaño & Petr Forejt (3%)

VISUAL EFFECTS:
1. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, Eric Barba, Steve Preeg, Burt Dalton & Craig Barron (45%)
2. The Dark Knight, Nick Davis, Chris Corbould, Tim Webber & Paul Franklin (35%)
3. Iron Man, John Nelson, Ben Snow, Dan Sudick & Shane Mahan (20%)

ANIMATED FEATURE:
1. WALL-E, Andrew Stanton (90%)
2. Kung Fu Panda, John Stevenson & Mark Osborne (9%)
3.Bolt, Chris Williams & Byron Howard (1%)

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE:Man on Wire, James Marsh & Simon Chinn
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM: Departures, Japan
ANIMATED SHORT:“Presto”, Doug Sweetland
DOCUMENTARY SHORT:“The Witness - From the Balcony of Room 306”, Adam Pertofsky & Margaret Hyde
LIVE ACTION SHORT:“The Pig”, Tivi Magnusson & Dorte Høgh

Projected Totals:
Slumdog Millionaire: 7
WALL-E: 4
The Dark Knight: 2
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button: 2
Frost/Nixon, The Reader, Doubt, The Duchess: 1 each