G'Day...

An avid fan of both Television and Cinema, this blog is desined to give Noble's personal predictions, and analysis of the Oscar and Emmy races each year, as well as providing a place for Noble's own annual awards for film and television to be archived. Feedback and Discussion is welcomed in the form of comments on the blog posts.

Wednesday, January 21, 2009

81st Oscar Nomination Predictions (Best Picture)








Taking into account critical response, box office and idustry support here are how the award contenders rank:



Dark Knight
25
Wall-E
23
Slumdog
23
Button
21
Milk
19
Frost/Nixon
15
Doubt
15
Gran Torino
13
Rev Road
7
Reader
4


81st Oscar Nomination Predictions Acting

I really came close to picking Alan Alda for Nothing But the Truth as a WTH? pick

81st Oscar Nomination Predictions (Directing and Writing)


81st Oscar Nomination Predictions (Tech Categories)

Editing
1. Slumdog Millionaire
2. The Dark Knight
3. Frost/Nixon
4. Doubt
5. Milk

Cinamatography
1. Slumdog Millionaire
2. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
3. The Dark Knight
4. Revolutionary Road
5. Frost/Nixon

Art Direction
1. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. The Dark Knight
3. Revolutionary Road
4. Changeling
5. Slumdog Millionaire

Sound Editing
1. The Dark Knight
2. WALL-E
3. Iron Man
4. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
5. Quantum of Solace

Sound Mixing
1. The Dark Knight
2. WALL-E
3. Slumdog Millionaire
4. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
5. Iron Man

Costume
1. The Dark Knight
2. The Duchess
3. Revolutionary Road
4. Changling
5. The Curious Case of Banjamin Button

Makeup
1. The Dark Knight
2. Trpoic Thunder
3. Synecdoche, New York

Visual Effects
1. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
2. The Dark Knight
3. Hellboy II: The Golden Army

Song
1. “Down to Earth”, WALL-E
2. “The Wrestler”, The Wrestler
3. “Jai Ho”, Slumdog Millionaire
4. “O Saya”, Slumdog Millionaire
5. “I Thought I Lost You”, Bolt

Score
1. WALL-E
2. The Dark Knight
3. Slumdog Millionaire
4. Frost/Nixon
5. Doubt

Foreign Language Picture
1. Waltz with Bashir
2. The Class
3. 3 Monkeys
4. The Baader Meinhof Complex
5. Everlasting Moments

Documentary Picture
1. Man on Wire
2. Trouble the Water
3. Standard Operating Procudure
4. I.O.U.S.A.
5. Made in America

Animated Picture
1. WALL-E
2. Waltz with Bashir
3. Kung-Fu Panda


3rd Annual Noble TV Awards

Well the Emmys did a good job in 2008 of honoring the best, but here are my own awards as voted by posters at theenvelope.com as well as myself. Enjoy...

The Emmys go "Mad" but still "Rock"

GREAT


Zeiljko Ivanek was the highlight for me, not only did I predict him but he had the best tape and helps the Best Supporting Actor in a Drama retsain its mantle as most impressive category at the Emmys. His costar Glenn Close gave one of the best performances on television this year, she was chilling playing Patty Hewes. She was the firm frountrunner and deserved to be.

Pushing Daisies was criminally snubbed in comedy series but easily won an incredibally well deserved directing trophy.

Mad Men and Boston Legal were the best drama had to offer this year so as long as one of those took it out I was happy (to be honest Damages or Lost winning I would have been fairly happy with as well. Mad Men’s win wasn’t an upset but was very well deserved. It’s writing win was also very well deserved (even for a script that was 7 years old).

Without the Friel in the mix and Parker submitting an average tape Fey deserved to win here and she was able to. One of the great comedic performances on television here.

GOOD

Without January Jones, Yunjin Kim, Chi McBride or Jack McBrayer, supporting actress in a drama and supprting actor in a comedy were underwhealming categories but Wiest and Piven had the best tapes and deserved to beat out the weak field.

Spader had an incredibal tape which should have earnt him a 4th statue. Hamm and Laurie also had strong submissions but Cranston was a worthy winner for his great transformative performance in Breaking Bad.
Without Pushing Daisies (which should have won) there was a hole in comedy series. The Office and 30 Rock though were both good with the Office being a bit weaker than it’s previous season and 30


AVERAGE


Baldwin was great in his tape and he’s the best thing about 30 Rock. But Carell was so good in Goodbye Toby (one of the best tapes of any category submitted) the trophy should have gone to him.


BAD


Cooter was not even 30 Rock’s strongest episode nominated. Fey is a great writer but here the writing was uneven. Pushing Daisies should have won or any of the other nominiees before Cooter.

Chenoweth should have easily won this category but unfortunatly Smart took it home. Nothing aginst Smart, she should have won for 24 and I like her in Samantha Who? But her win was one for mediocrity.
TERRIBLE
The hosts and the embrace of reality TV, which did nothing to improve ratings or sustain the dignity of the awards.

SUMMARY & SCORECARD
Overall it was a very good year for the Emmys. I was able to correctly predict 7/14 of the top awards for 50% success rate.

Final Emmy Predictions

Well I meant to post my final emmy predictions here but the computer hard disk crashed and I lost my graphics. I know they are over now but here are the predictions that I made jsut so that there is a record of them here.

Drama Series
1. Boston Legal
2. Mad Men
3. Damages
4. House
5. Lost
6. Dexter

Comedy Series
1. 30 Rock
2. The Office
3. Curb Your Enthusiasm
4. Two and a Half Men
5. Entourage

Lead Actor in a Drama Series
1. Hugh Laurie, House
2. James Spader, Boston Legal
3. Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
4. Jon Hamm, Mad Men
5. Michael C. Hall, Dexter
6. Gabriel Byrne, In Treatment

Lead Actress in a Drama Series
1. Glenn Close, Damages
2. Kyra Sedgewik, The Closer
3. Sally Field, Brothers & Sisters
4. Holly Hunter, Saving Grace
5. Marishka Hargitay, Law & Order: SVU

Supporting Actress in a Drama Series
1. Diane Wiest, In Treatment
2. Chandra Wilson, Grey's Anatomy
3. Rachael Griffiths, Brothers & Sisters
4. Candice Bergan, Boston Legal
5. Sandra Oh, Grey's Anatomy

Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
1. Zeiljko Ivanek, Damages
2. Michael Emerson, Lost
3. William Shatner, Boston Legal
4. Ted Danson, Damages
5. John Slattery, Mad Men